Gornyak-UGMK vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma).

RUSSIA: VHL

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 2)
08:03, 0 - 1, Sokolov D. (G),
18:08, 0 - 2, Sheshin D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Gornyak-UGMK
34.6%

Draw
23.2%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

24.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	2.23 ↓ (2.32)	6.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

Preview Facts

Gornyak-UGMK is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg N is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gornyak-UGMK won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Metallurg N could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Metallurg N have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gornyak-UGMK won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 55:70 (average 2.8:3.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:29 (average 3.3:3.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Metallurg Novokuznetsk?

Gornyak-UGMK has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Metallurg Novokuznetsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:

15.09.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 2:0

27.08.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:2

20.01.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:1

30.09.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:2

25.08.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2:4

Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK

03.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 1:0 ✺

19.02.2025 Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK 2:3 ✺

17.02.2025 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2 ✺

15.02.2025 CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK 5:4 ✺

Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk

07.03.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dynamo-Altay 2:3 ✺

03.03.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov 7:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza 4:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara 6:4 ✺

23.02.2025 Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3:2 ✺

VHL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1	0	1	0	0	2:1	2
2	Torpedo Gorky	1	0	0	1	0	1:2	1
3	HC Yugra	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Kurgan	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Perm	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Rubin Tyumen	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Dizel	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Almetyevsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Orsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Toros Neftekamsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Izhevsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Ryazan	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Krasnoyarsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	CSK VVS	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	Buran Voronezh	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Khimik	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Bars	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Chelny	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	Dyn. Altay	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Tambov	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
23	Olympia	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
24	HC Rostov	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
25	Zvezda Moscow	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
26	Dinamo St. Petersburg	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
27	Kristall Saratov	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
28	Gornyak	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
29	Omskie Krylia	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
30	AKM	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
31	HK Norilsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
32	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)