Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 OT
27/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:37, 0 - 1, Sushchev V. (G), Demidovich V. (A), Bolshakov M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 13:58, 1 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
  • 16:00, 2 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:58, 2 - 2, Trofimov Y. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:54, 3 - 2, Gorshkov A. (G),

Chances of winning


Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.5%
Draw
23.2%
Gornyak-UGMK
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 20.8% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 21.3% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.61)
    3.95
    (4.38)
    3.76
    (4.03)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 5.
    • Metallurg N is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gornyak-UGMK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:53. (average 3.6:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 3.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    22.10.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4:5
    12.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:2
    15.09.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 2:0
    27.08.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:2
    20.01.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:1
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    20.01.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov 5:2
    18.01.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov 1:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)1 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)1 : 0
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)