Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Bustos J. 🟨,
- 19', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 22', Rengifo J. 🟨,
- 36', Manriquez S. 🟨,
- 42', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 44', Rengifo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bonilla E. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez E. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 54', Lopez E. ↓, Olaguez E. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽, Vazquez D. (A),
- 68', Bustos J. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 68', Mascorro H. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Cruz J. (Pen),
- 73', 1 - 2, Andrey Marcos ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
- 80', Ramirez A. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 85', Andrey Marcos 🟨,
- 87', Cruz J. ↓, Gallinar S. ↑,
- 88', Cortes J. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 90+2', Manriquez S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dorados
45.3% | Draw
25.7% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.95) |
3.64
(3.64) |
3.22 ↓
(3.39) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.
- Dorados is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dorados is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Dorados has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Dorados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
19.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
2:2
02.11.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:0
02.04.2024
Dorados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:3
27.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
4:0
25.01.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Dorados
3:0
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
