Result
13/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
HIFK
52.8% | Draw
22% | Kärpät
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
HIFK - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
4.19 ↑
(4) |
3.7 ↑
(3.25) |
7.4%
(12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.
- HIFK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, HIFK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, HIFK is considered a favorite.
- We predict that HIFK will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 58:41. (average 2.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 3.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Kärpät?
HIFK has won 16 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HIFK?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Kärpät were as follows:
06.02.2026
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:2
05.12.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
0:1
15.11.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
5:2
14.11.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
4:3
15.03.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
