Mainz vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - Werder Bremen
Result
1:1
01/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.94
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
77% (311/405)80% (376/470)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.540.94
Total shots
105
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
77% (311/405)80% (376/470)
Long passes
54% (36/67)47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
69% (118/172)72% (81/113)
Crosses
28% (7/25)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.99
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
1911
Tackles
83% (10/12)36% (5/14)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
1348
Interceptions
1710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.941.54
Goals prevented
-0.060.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Widmer S. , Hollerbach B. (A),
  • 45', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mbangula S. , Puertas C. ,
  • 59', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
  • 64', Boniface V. , Topp K. ,
  • 64', Grull M. , Njinmah J. ,
  • 69', Hollerbach B. , Sieb A. ,
  • 77', Widmer S. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 77', Mwene P. , da Costa D. ,
  • 81', Coulibaly K. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Stage J. ,
  • 88', Topp K. 🟨,
  • 89', Lee Jae-Sung , Weiper N. ,
  • 89', Nebel P. , Nordin A. ,
  • 90+2', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Schmid R. , Stark N. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
49.3%
Draw
24.7%
Werder Bremen
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 24.3% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 24.3% 27.4%

Mainz - Werder Bremen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(1.97)
3.91
(3.91)
3.62
(3.47)
4.3%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Werder will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 43.7%75.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Werder (2.06) (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 0.
    • Mainz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Werder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mainz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Leitsch M. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    15.09.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:2
    03.02.2024 Mainz - Werder Bremen 0:1
    02.09.2023 Werder Bremen - Mainz 4:0
    08.04.2023 Mainz - Werder Bremen 2:2
    Latest results of Mainz
    29.10.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 0:2
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1
    23.10.2025 Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar 1:0
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich1091035:62928
    2RB Leipzig1071220:13722
    3Dortmund1063116:7921
    4Bayer Leverkusen1062224:141020
    5Hoffenheim1061321:16519
    6Stuttgart960314:10418
    7Werder Bremen1043315:18-315
    8Eintracht Frankfurt942322:19314
    9FC Koln1042417:15214
    10Union Berlin1033413:17-412
    11Freiburg924311:13-210
    12B. Monchengladbach1023513:19-69
    13Hamburger SV102359:16-79
    14Wolfsburg1022612:18-68
    15Augsburg921612:21-97
    16St. Pauli92168:18-107
    17Mainz912610:17-75
    18Heidenheim101278:23-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga