Hannover vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.06
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
80% (334/415)77% (254/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.410.68
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
4231
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (334/415)77% (254/331)
Long passes
50% (32/64)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
68% (89/130)65% (77/118)
Crosses
25% (4/16)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.98
Throw-ins
2627
Fouls
1611
Tackles
65% (13/20)82% (14/17)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3735
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.682.41
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Okon I. , Blank H. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Felix J. , Momuluh T. (A),
  • 44', Tomiak B. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Mehlem M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Russo S. , Schneider L. ,
  • 52', Leopold E. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Chakroun H. , Noll N. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Matsuda H. ,
  • 62', Momuluh T. , Young I. ,
  • 63', Mehlem M. , Schreck S. ,
  • 64', Ghita V. 🟨,
  • 65', Chakroun H. , Yokota D. ,
  • 78', Worl M. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 78', Kallman B. , Nielsen H. ,
  • 79', Leopold E. , Roggow F. ,
  • 79', Aseko-Nkili N. , Taibi W. ,
  • 83', Lannert C. , Boakye B. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Tomiak B. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hannover
50.5%
Draw
25.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.88)
    3.74
    (3.65)
    3.94
    (3.65)
    5.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2.
    • Hannover is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arminia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arminia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hannover is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hannover: Bundu M. (Ankle Injury) Pichler B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Boakye B. (Muscle Injury) Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. (Muscle Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Worl M. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 2:0
    22.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 1:3
    15.10.2022 Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0
    Latest results of Hannover
    21.09.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Hannover 2:2
    13.09.2025 Hannover - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3
    30.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2
    23.08.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 3:1
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

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