Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix |
 Bangladesh | Toffee Live |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Setanta Sports |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Sport 24 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/375) | 82% (377/460) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/375) | 82% (377/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (31/72) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 74% (108/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Ramsey J. 🟨,
- 37', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
- 38', Joelinton 🟨,
- 39', Shaw L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ramsey J. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+9', 1 - 1, Casemiro ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
- 61', Shaw L. ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
- 61', Casemiro ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
- 64', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
- 76', Mainoo K. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
- 77', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
- 80', Trippier K. 🟨,
- 84', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
- 85', Gordon A. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
- 85', Mazraoui N. ↓, Malacia T. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Osula W. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
- 90+7', Tonali S. ↓, Botman S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
36.5% | Draw
25.9% | Manchester United
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle United - Manchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.32) |
3.7 ↓
(3.78) |
2.55 ↓
(2.77) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Manchester United?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 21 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 25.4% – 51%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 6 - 40%). Man Utd (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Man Utd (1.92) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Man Utd (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DNB - Man Utd (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Man Utd (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
- Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Man Utd is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes
(Muscle Injury)
Krafth E.
(Knee Injury)
Miley L.
(Knee Injury)
Schar F.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mount M.
(Knock)
de Ligt M.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Livramento V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Woltemade N.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Man Utd: Aljofree S.
(Injury)
Martinez Li.
(Calf Injury)
Shaw L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Manchester United?
Newcastle United has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Newcastle United?
Manchester United has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Manchester United were as follows:
26.12.2025
Manchester United
-
Newcastle United
1:0
13.04.2025
Newcastle United
-
Manchester United
4:1
30.12.2024
Manchester United
-
Newcastle United
0:2
15.05.2024
Manchester United
-
Newcastle United
3:2
02.12.2023
Newcastle United
-
Manchester United
1:0
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Manchester United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69:32 | 37 | 71 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd ✔ | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63:48 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 58 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55:52 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 54:48 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | Everton | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:44 | 0 | 48 |
| 11 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 45:54 | -9 | 37 |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
