Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/317) | 86% (496/580) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/317) | 86% (496/580) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/93) | 71% (87/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Dean M. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Salifou D. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 67', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 68', Raman B. ↓, Boersma B. ↑,
- 71', Kadri A. ↓, Ito A. ↑,
- 90', St. Jago T. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 90', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
- 90', Goore H. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Antonio B. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
- 90+6', Dean M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gent
60.6% | Draw
27.5% | KV Mechelen
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+17.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KV Mechelen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gent - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.07) |
3.92 ↑
(3.58) |
9.82 ↑
(3.1) |
-7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Mechelen (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 50%). Mechelen (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gent could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A.
(Injury)
Paskotsi M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gent: Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against KV Mechelen?
Gent has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Gent?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - KV Mechelen were as follows:
08.03.2026
Gent
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
16.08.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
1:1
07.02.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
3:3
15.09.2024
Gent
-
KV Mechelen
2:0
04.05.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
2:4
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
