Result
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Zorya Luhansk
28.9% | Draw
30.7% | Kolos Kovalivka
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zorya Luhansk's form might have worsened.Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.47) |
3.28 ↑
(3.1) |
2.5 ↓
(2.82) |
-0.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2.
- Zorya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kolos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zorya Luhansk won against Kolos Kovalivka?
Zorya Luhansk has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kolos Kovalivka won against Zorya Luhansk?
Kolos Kovalivka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka were as follows:
30.03.2025
Zorya Luhansk
-
Kolos Kovalivka
0:3
23.09.2024
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
1:0
25.05.2024
Zorya Luhansk
-
Kolos Kovalivka
0:1
09.05.2024
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
0:1
21.04.2023
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
0:1
Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
Latest results of Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dyn. Kyiv | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kryvbas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Obolon | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | LNZ Cherkasy | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Kudrivka | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpaty Lviv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Oleksandriya | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | SC Poltava | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Epitsentr | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Rukh Lviv | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
