Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona).

: LaLiga - Round 35
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.22	2.66
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
23	9
Shots on target
9	5
Big Chances
7	5
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
87% (417/478)	80% (235/295)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
4.22	2.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.04	1.70
Total shots
23	9
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
7	5
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
39	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
15	17
Passes
87% (417/478)	80% (235/295)
Long passes
65% (28/43)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
80% (147/183)	59% (33/56)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.25	0.61
Throw-ins
14	13
Fouls
17	15
Tackles
43% (6/14)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
41	48
Clearances
9	27
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	3
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.70	3.04
Goals prevented
-1.30	-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
14', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
19', 1 - 2, Garcia E. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
29', Valverde F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 2, Yamal L. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
34', 3 - 2, Raphinha ⚽, Pedri (A),
36', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
45', Araujo R. 🟨,
45', 4 - 2, Raphinha ⚽, Torres F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guler A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
46', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
50', Asencio R. 🟨,
54', Martinez I. 🟨,
57', Cubarsi P. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
58', Martin G. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
70', 4 - 3, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
77', Olmo D. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
78', Garcia E. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
80', Lopez F. 🟨,
84', Lucas ↓, Endrick ↑,
87', Pedri 🟨,
88', Vinicius Junior ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
89', Torres F. ↓, Gavi ↑,

Chances of winning

Barcelona
51%

Draw
22%

Real Madrid
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Barcelona - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	4.35 ↑ (4.09)	3.54 ↓ (3.83)	4.1% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Barcelona - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 39 - 48.1%). Real will win (votes: 33 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 37.2% – 59%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Real (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

DC - Real (votes: 5 - 100%).

AH -0.5 - Real (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

DNB - Real (votes: 3 - 100%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
Barcelona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torre P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Suspended)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Real Madrid?

Barcelona has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Barcelona?

Real Madrid has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Real Madrid were as follows:

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2

12.01.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:5

26.10.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4

03.08.2024 Barcelona - Real Madrid 2:1

21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2

Latest results of Barcelona

06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Barcelona - Inter Milan 3:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

04.05.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Real Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1, SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	RDS App, RDS Info, TSN 3, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh, Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4, TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Neto
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online