Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 33
Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
63.3%

Draw
22.9%

Rayo Vallecano
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

22.9%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	6.92 ↓ (7.25)	4.1% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 48 - 75%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 64.4% – 85.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Atlético (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match Atlético is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43:13 (average 2.2:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:6 (average 2.4:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Rayo Vallecano?

Atlético Madrid has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Atlético Madrid?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

22.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 1:1

31.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

28.08.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 0:7

09.04.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 1:2

18.10.2022 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valladolid 4:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	Disney+