Result
22/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
34.4% | Draw
31.3% | Freiburg
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
St. Pauli - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.62) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
2.77 ↓
(2.86) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Freiburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
St. Pauli will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 1.
- Recent performances by St. Pauli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Freiburg?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against St. Pauli?
Freiburg has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Freiburg were as follows:
09.11.2025
Freiburg
-
St. Pauli
2:1
15.02.2025
St. Pauli
-
Freiburg
0:1
28.09.2024
Freiburg
-
St. Pauli
0:3
19.10.2022
Freiburg
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 93:25 | 68 | 67 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 55:26 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 54:34 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 50 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49:49 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 31 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Mainz | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 35:44 | -9 | 25 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:56 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24:58 | -34 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
