Result
0:1
28/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/533) | 81% (347/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/533) | 81% (347/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (123/161) | 59% (64/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Dierckx D. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Henry T. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
- 46', Nielsen C. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. (A),
- 67', Konate M. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 67', Salifou D. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
- 67', Struyf I. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 74', Mohr T. 🟨,
- 78', Mohr T. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
- 78', Raman B. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 82', Koudou T. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 88', Mrabti K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
40% | Draw
28.4% | Standard Liège
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
KV Mechelen - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.25) |
3.32 ↓
(3.42) |
3.02 ↓
(3.11) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Standard will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mechelen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Hammar F.
(Yellow Cards)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
Teague R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Bolingoli B.
(Injury)
Fossey M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Standard Liège?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against KV Mechelen?
Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Standard Liège were as follows:
12.09.2025
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
1:1
10.05.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
0:0
29.03.2025
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
26.12.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
0:0
09.08.2024
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
0:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
