Heidenheim vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 7
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.070.94
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Passes
71% (238/333)69% (276/399)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.070.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.04
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
10
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2127
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
137
Passes
71% (238/333)69% (276/399)
Long passes
42% (36/85)40% (38/95)
Passes in final third
51% (55/107)54% (79/147)
Crosses
33% (4/12)55% (11/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.781.16
Throw ins
2931
Fouls
713
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (7/11)
Duels won
7255
Clearances
4022
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.042.17
Goals prevented
0.04-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Pieringer M. (A),
  • 31', Burke O. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 62', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
  • 69', Schimmer S. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
  • 69', Schafer A. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
  • 69', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Querfeld L. ⚽, Khedira R. (A),
  • 77', Honsak M. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
  • 78', Pieringer M. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
  • 84', Kral A. ↓, Guther L. ↑,
  • 87', Guther L. 🟨,
  • 88', Schoppner J. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 88', Dinkci E. ↓, Beck A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
34.4%		Draw
28.1%		Union Berlin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26.4% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Heidenheim - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.79 ↓
    (3.23)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.65)    		 2.54 ↑
    (2.13)    		 4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Union Berlin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 4.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Preu D. (Inactive) Raab M. (Hand Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Union Berlin were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    11.01.2025 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 2:0
    24.02.2024 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 2:2
    30.09.2023 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    04.04.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 ✺
    14.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺
    21.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 1:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 312641113:328182
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig31195762:382462
    4Stuttgart31176863:432057
    5Hoffenheim31176861:451657
    6Bayer Leverkusen31167862:422055
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3111101056:58-243
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg311071439:55-1637
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    12Werder Bremen31881536:54-1832
    13Union Berlin31881535:55-2032
    14FC Koln317101445:53-831
    15Hamburger SV317101434:50-1631
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim31571935:66-3122

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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