Defensa y Justicia vs Colón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Colón
30/04/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
42.5%
Draw
28.5%
Colón
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 30% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Colón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.01)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.27
    (3.76)
    5.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Colón?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 3 (9.43%), project points - 42, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Colón has the most likely position - 20 (6.43%), project points - 33, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 40, very small importance 4, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Colón were as follows:
    18.10.2022 Colón - Defensa y Justicia 1:2
    Latest results of Colón
    21.04.2023 Colón - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    17.04.2023 Platense - Colón 0:0
    09.04.2023 Boca Juniors - Colón 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P64028:6212
    2Barracas Central63219:7211
    3Central Cordoba62408:4410
    4Huracan63125:6-110
    5Boca Juniors62317:349
    6Union de Santa Fe62317:349
    7Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    8Argentinos Jrs62226:428
    9Tigre62226:608
    10Belgrano62225:508
    11Banfield62137:10-37
    12Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club61144:9-54
    15Aldosivi60331:6-53


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633012:4812
    2Velez Sarsfield63216:3311
    3San Lorenzo63215:3211
    4Dep. Riestra63128:5310
    5Lanus63126:4210
    6Rosario Central62404:2210
    7Atl. Tucuman62318:539
    8San Martin S.J62225:508
    9Gimnasia L.P62134:5-17
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    12Talleres Cordoba61233:7-45
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz60334:9-53
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)