Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
0:2
26/11/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
24.4%
Draw
22.9%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 26.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 25.5% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (2.65)
    3.92
    (3.45)
    1.71
    (2.25)
    11.3%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 0:1
    19.05.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 3:2
    16.10.2022 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LKS Lomza330010:559
    2Legia II32108:447
    3Zabki320110:646
    4Plock II32017:346
    5Warta Sieradz32016:246
    6Swit Mazowiecki32016:336
    7GKS Belchatow31209:815
    8Jagiellonia II31115:414
    9T. Mazowiecki31115:6-14
    10Olimpia Elblag31115:6-14
    11Suwalki31024:5-13
    12Wasilkow31022:6-43
    13Widzew Lodz II31027:10-33
    14Troszyn31025:6-13
    15Wikielec31025:6-13
    16Bron Radom30216:8-22
    17Biala Piska30124:9-51
    18Mlawa30124:11-71

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