San Luis de Quillota vs Deportes Santa Cruz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
29/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
44
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
712
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
06
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Arias D. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Madrigal G. ,
  • 37', Tati D. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Arias D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Delgado J. , Mederos S. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Avello G. ,
  • 58', Madrigal G. 🟨,
  • 60', Parada S. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Gonzalez F. ,
  • 73', Madrigal G. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 77', Barrios N. , Zeineddin N. ,
  • 77', Alvarado F. , Romero N. ,
  • 88', Orellana F. 🟨,
  • 90', Pastenes F. , Munoz L. ,
  • 90+2', Zeineddin N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Romero N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Luis de Quillota
42.2%
Draw
28.5%
Deportes Santa Cruz
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 27.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.5% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Luis de Quillota, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.01)
    3.25
    (3.35)
    3.15
    (3.46)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Deportes Santa Cruz (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: San Luis de Quillota will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Deportes Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • San Luis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota 2:2
    09.03.2025 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz 1:1
    06.10.2024 Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota 1:1
    18.05.2024 San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz 1:2
    26.09.2023 Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota 1:1