Toronto Marlies vs Rochester Americans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Toronto Marlies
31.9%

Draw
22.4%

Rochester Americans
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

22.6%

45.2%

Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)	4.05 ↓ (4.13)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	9.5% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rochester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
Rochester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.86.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 64:61. (average 3.2:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 3.6:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Rochester Americans?

Toronto Marlies has won 12 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rochester Americans won against Toronto Marlies?

Rochester Americans has won 13 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans were as follows:

11.10.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 4:1

10.10.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 4:3

19.04.2025 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 3:2

18.04.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 0:3

22.02.2025 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 1:0

Latest results of Toronto Marlies

01.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch 2:1 ✺

30.12.2025 Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies 1:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies 3:4 ✺

26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4 ✺

Latest results of Rochester Americans

29.12.2025 Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans 3:4 ✺

27.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters 3:4 ✺

19.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺

17.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Utica Comets 2:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:2 ✺

AHL Table

2025/26

Atlantic Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	33	19	3	3	8	109:81	47
2	Providence Bruins	28	16	5	1	6	93:59	43
3	Charlotte Checkers	29	15	3	2	9	88:77	38
4	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	31	9	7	4	11	86:88	36
5	Hershey Bears	29	11	3	1	14	77:83	29
6	Springfield Thunderbirds	29	10	1	6	12	78:99	28
7	Bridgeport Islanders	29	9	3	3	14	89:98	27
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	29	9	1	5	14	76:96	25

Central Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Grand Rapids Griffins	29	22	4	2	1	114:51	54
2	Chicago Wolves	28	12	2	7	7	83:78	35
3	Manitoba Moose	29	14	1	2	12	76:84	32
4	Milwaukee Admirals	29	9	5	2	13	84:82	30
5	Rockford IceHogs	32	9	4	3	16	90:103	29
6	Texas Stars	30	7	4	4	15	77:99	26
7	Iowa Wild	32	7	3	2	20	66:101	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Eagles	28	15	5	2	6	92:63	42
2	San Jose Barracuda	30	13	5	2	10	98:97	38
3	Ontario Reign	30	13	5	2	10	100:85	38
4	Calgary Wranglers	34	9	6	8	11	97:113	38
5	San Diego Gulls	29	11	3	7	8	90:73	35
6	Coachella Valley Firebirds	29	8	7	4	10	101:102	34
7	Bakersfield Condors	29	11	3	5	10	105:106	33
8	Henderson Silver Knights	28	12	2	4	10	92:82	32
9	Tucson Roadrunners	29	7	5	5	12	92:98	29
10	Abbotsford Canucks	31	5	4	6	16	65:110	24

North Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Laval Rocket	31	17	3	1	10	102:79	41
2	Syracuse Crunch	31	16	1	3	11	103:84	37
3	Rochester Americans	30	12	4	4	10	101:93	36
4	Toronto Marlies	32	11	6	2	13	95:103	36
5	Belleville Senators	34	11	2	5	16	110:123	31
6	Cleveland Monsters	29	8	5	5	11	71:78	31
7	Utica Comets	28	5	2	5	16	60:92	19

Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )