Barcelona vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
28/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaRed Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.951.29
Ball possession
74%26%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
81
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
32
Passes
91% (711/779)76% (205/271)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.951.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.510.55
Total shots
196
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
135
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
4019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free kicks
911
Passes
91% (711/779)76% (205/271)
Long passes
70% (23/33)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
82% (188/230)55% (36/65)
Crosses
17% (1/6)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.370.94
Throw ins
1820
Fouls
119
Tackles
47% (7/15)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.552.51
Goals prevented
-0.45-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Lamine Yamal , Fermín (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Lamine Yamal , Fermín (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Gueye P. , Mourino S. (A),
  • 53', Bernal M. 🟨,
  • 55', Flick H. 🟨,
  • 55', Marcelino 🟨,
  • 56', Raphinha 🟨,
  • 59', Olmo D. , Pedri ,
  • 67', Torres F. , Lewandowski R. ,
  • 67', Bernal M. , Araujo R. ,
  • 67', Moleiro A. , Pedraza A. ,
  • 67', Perez A. , Buchanan T. ,
  • 68', Pedraza A. 🟨,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Lamine Yamal , Pedri (A),
  • 73', Raphinha , Rashford M. ,
  • 73', Lamine Yamal , Bardghji R. ,
  • 80', Cardona S. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 80', Comesana S. , Parejo D. ,
  • 84', Pepe N. , Oluwaseyi T. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Lewandowski R. , Kounde J. (A),

Chances of winning


Barcelona
70%
Draw
16.4%
Villarreal
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 14.5% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9% 14.3% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Barcelona - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.3)
    5.82
    (6.56)
    7.01
    (7.6)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Barcelona - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65.1%91.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Barcelona (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Barcelona (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Barcelona (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Barcelona (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Barcelona (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Barcelona (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Barcelona (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Barcelona (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Barcelona (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Barcelona (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Barcelona (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Villarreal (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Villarreal (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Limited number of spectators.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.
    • Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Villarreal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barcelona is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Martin G. (Yellow Cards) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moreno G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Villarreal: Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:27. (average 2.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 2.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Villarreal were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Villarreal - Barcelona 0:2
    18.05.2025 Barcelona - Villarreal 2:3
    22.09.2024 Villarreal - Barcelona 1:5
    27.01.2024 Barcelona - Villarreal 3:5
    27.08.2023 Villarreal - Barcelona 3:4
    Latest results of Barcelona
    22.02.2026 Barcelona - Levante 3:0
    16.02.2026 Girona - Barcelona 2:1
    07.02.2026 Barcelona - Mallorca 3:0
    Latest results of Villarreal
    22.02.2026 Villarreal - Valencia 2:1
    18.02.2026 Levante - Villarreal 0:1
    14.02.2026 Getafe - Villarreal 2:1
    09.02.2026 Villarreal - Espanyol 4:1
    31.01.2026 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona26211471:264564
    2Real Madrid26193454:223260
    3Atl. Madrid26156543:232051
    4Villarreal26163748:311751
    5Betis261110542:321043
    6Celta Vigo261010636:28840
    7Espanyol261061033:39-636
    8Real Sociedad2698938:38035
    9Ath Bilbao261051130:36-635
    10Osasuna26961130:30033
    11Getafe26951221:29-832
    12Sevilla26861234:41-730
    13Girona26791027:42-1530
    14Valencia26781127:39-1229
    15Rayo Vallecano25691023:32-927
    16Alaves26761323:34-1127
    17Elche265111034:39-526
    18Mallorca26661429:42-1324
    19Levante26561528:44-1621
    20Oviedo25381416:40-2417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2