Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
120:111
10/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
10277
Field goals made
4937
Field goals %
48.04%48.05%
2-point field goals attempts
5255
2-point field goals made
3332
2-point field goals %
63.46%58.18%
3-point field goals attempts
5022
3-point field goals made
165
3-point field goals %
32%22.73%
Free throws attempts
944
Free throws made
632
Free throws %
66.7%72.7%
Offensive rebounds
178
Defensive rebounds
3134
Total rebounds
4842
Assists
3218
Blocks
35
Turnovers
1416
Steals
87
Personal fouls
2712
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Phoenix Suns
73.4%
Dallas Mavericks
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Suns than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.38)

    3.63
    (3.05)
    3.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 227.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 227.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Phoenix (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 228, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:110.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 4.
    • In recent matches, Phoenix has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Phoenix is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Phoenix: Allen G. (Knee Injury) Livers I. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Thompson K. (Rest)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2203:2194. (average 110.2:109.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 969:958. (average 107.7:106.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks were as follows:
    12.11.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 114:123
    09.03.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 116:125
    27.12.2024 Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks 89:98
    08.11.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns 113:114
    26.10.2024 Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks 114:102
    Latest results of Phoenix Suns
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)