Express vs Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaSanyuka TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
53
Total shots
68
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
05
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Ssebuufu F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Express
16.4%
Draw
26.3%
Villa
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 28.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 28.2% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Express's form might have worsened.
  • Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Express, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Express - Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.48
    (3.26)
    3.42
    (3.19)
    1.57
    (2.06)
    11.1%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Express - Villa?
  • Users Predictions: Villa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Villa will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 1.
    • Express is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villa could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Express won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Express won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Villa were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Villa - Express 1:0
    08.11.2024 Express - Villa 1:0
    09.03.2024 Villa - Express 1:0
    08.12.2023 Express - Villa 1:2
    05.03.2023 Express - Villa 1:2
    Latest results of Express
    17.12.2025 Maroons - Express 4:0
    11.12.2025 Entebbe UPPC - Express 2:0
    04.12.2025 Express - Calvary 4:0
    26.11.2025 Express - Vipers 0:3
    20.11.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Express 0:0
    Latest results of Villa
    17.12.2025 Villa - Calvary 1:0
    06.12.2025 Maroons - Villa 1:0
    29.11.2025 Vipers - Villa 1:1
    25.11.2025 UPDF - Villa 0:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers16115034:92538
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1759319:16324
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1746715:21-618
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF17331112:25-1312
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League