Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
28/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2529
Shots off target
1312
Shooting PCT
24% (6/25)6.9% (2/29)
Blocked shots
1312
Goalkeeper Saves
2719
Saves PCT
93.1% (27/29)79.17% (19/24)
Penalties
54
PIM
108
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (4/4)
Hits
1320
Faceoffs Won
2727
Faceoffs %
5050
Giveaways
1615
Takeaways
34
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:30, 1 - 0, Caufield C. (G),
  • 06:06, Duhaime B. (2 min),
  • 08:24, Matheson M. (2 min),
  • 13:16, 1 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Beauvillier A. (A), Chisholm D. (A2)
  • 14:19, 2 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Struble J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 10:09, Leonard R. (2 min),
  • 12:22, 3 - 1, Matheson M. (G), Bolduc Z. (A), Newhook A. (A2)
  • 16:34, 4 - 1, Dach K. (G), Suzuki N. (A),
  • 17:17, Gallagher B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 06:00, Dowd N. (2 min),
  • 06:00, Dach K. (2 min),
  • 07:51, Dobson N. (2 min),
  • 12:12, 4 - 2, Ovechkin A. (G), Strome D. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
  • 13:33, McMichael C. (2 min),
  • 16:44, 5 - 2, Suzuki N. (G),
  • 17:37, Carrier A. (2 min),
  • 18:34, 6 - 2, Evans J. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montreal Canadiens
47.2%
Draw
22.4%
Washington Capitals
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 22.6% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 22.9% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.17)
    4.25
    (4.19)
    3.1
    (2.79)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5, 3rd Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montreal Canadiens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Washington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Laine P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Washington: Carlson J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 59:85. (average 3:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:41. (average 3.6:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens 3:2
    20.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 4:8
    30.04.2025 Washington Capitals - Montreal Canadiens 4:1
    27.04.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 2:5
    25.04.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 6:3
    Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2