Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pasaia
41.7% | Draw
31.5% | Deusto
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deusto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pasaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deusto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pasaia - Deusto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.85) |
2.93 ↓
(2.95) |
3.45 ↓
(4.53) |
8.4%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2.
- Pasaia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deusto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deusto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pasaia is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pasaia won against Deusto?
Pasaia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Pasaia?
Deusto has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pasaia - Deusto were as follows:
18.01.2025
Pasaia
-
Deusto
1:2
07.09.2024
Deusto
-
Pasaia
1:1
17.02.2024
Deusto
-
Pasaia
0:1
30.09.2023
Pasaia
-
Deusto
1:0
18.02.2023
Pasaia
-
Deusto
0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
