Result
1:4
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Brazil | SporTV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
Russia | Okko Sport 2, Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 2.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Passes |
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77% (257/334) | 89% (497/560) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 2.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.28 | 2.79 |
Total shots |
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12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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28 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 17 |
Passes |
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77% (257/334) | 89% (497/560) |
Long passes |
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51% (23/45) | 61% (40/66) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (50/95) | 78% (103/132) |
Crosses |
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40% (6/15) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.95 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 17 |
Fouls |
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17 | 9 |
Tackles |
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54% (15/28) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
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54 | 43 |
Clearances |
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26 | 20 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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2.79 | 0.28 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.21 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Coufal V. 🟨,
- 12', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 29', Goretzka L. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 0 - 2, Kane H. (Pen),
- 62', Goretzka L. ↓, Kimmich J. ↑,
- 62', Karl L. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
- 62', Jackson N. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
- 66', Damar M. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
- 69', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Upamecano D. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 3, Kane H. (Pen),
- 78', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 78', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Coufal V. ⚽,
- 83', Coufal V. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 83', Avdullahu L. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
- 86', Boey S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
- 90+9', 1 - 4, Gnabry S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim 13.5% | Draw 18.6% | Bayern Munich 67.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.06 ↓ (7.36) |
5.18 ↓ (5.58) |
1.44 ↑ (1.37) |
3% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.2% – 86.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 25%). Bayern (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
- Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Foot Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Musiala J.
(Broken calfbone)
Stanisic J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:51. (average 1.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Bayern Munich?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Hoffenheim?
Bayern Munich has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich were as follows:
17.05.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Bayern Munich
0:4
15.01.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Hoffenheim
5:0
18.05.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Bayern Munich
4:2
12.01.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Hoffenheim
3:0
15.04.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Hoffenheim
1:1
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga