Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 10
  • Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
19
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
510
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
19
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
717
Throw-ins
1926
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Itu C. 🟨,
  • 15', Sangare M. 🟨,
  • 26', Ali E. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Perea J. ,
  • 37', Ivanov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Petkov M. 🟨,
  • 64', Kostadinov G. , Bouras A. ,
  • 64', Petkov M. , Soula M. ,
  • 74', Kamdem O. , Neves A. ,
  • 74', Kirilov R. , Fabien K. ,
  • 76', Perea J. , Andreev P. ,
  • 81', Trdin G. , Rildo ,
  • 88', Itu C. , Touma G. ,
  • 88', Umarbaev P. , Lucas Ryan ,
  • 90+3', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpth9he6

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Plovdiv
17%
Draw
25.3%
Levski Sofia
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 27.4% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 26.4% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.
  • Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levski Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levski Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.52
    (3.48)
    3.64
    (3.38)
    1.62
    (2.01)
    7.3%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Levski (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Levski Sofia will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63%98.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Levski Sofia will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Levski (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Levski is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2:1
    02.08.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia 0:2
    18.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia 1:2
    02.12.2023 Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3:0
    06.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia 2:1
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Latest results of Levski Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia22172352:143853
    2Ludogorets22127341:172443
    3CSKA Sofia22117433:171640
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia22124633:25840
    5Cherno More2299426:151136
    6Lok. Plovdiv22810424:24034
    7Slavia Sofia2277824:26-228
    8Arda2277823:23028
    9Botev Vratsa2269716:19-327
    10Lok. Sofia2169624:23127
    11Botev Plovdiv22741127:33-625
    12Spartak Varna22311821:33-1220
    13Dobrudzha22541317:29-1219
    14Beroe22391017:34-1718
    15Septemvri Sofia21531320:44-2418
    16Montana22361314:36-2215

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )