SaiPa vs Kärpät – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga SaiPa - Kärpät
Result
6:3
24/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.961.16
Shots on Goal
3322
Shots off Goal
199
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
215
Goalkeeper Saves
1927
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
14
PIM
28
Power-play Goals
20
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
Faceoffs Won
4127
Faceoffs %
60.2939.71
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 02:16, 0 - 1, Hermonen J. (G), Korpimaki M. (A), Erholtz A. (A2)
  • 07:38, Petman V. (2 min),
  • 14:04, Paaso A. (2 min),
  • 15:35, 1 - 1, Karvinen R. (G), Siikonen M. (A), Petman V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 02:11, Rueschhoff A. (2 min),
  • 03:12, 2 - 1, Kousa M. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Petman V. (A2)
  • 06:13, 3 - 1, Trejbal O. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Kousa M. (A2)
  • 12:50, 4 - 1, Karvinen R. (G), Airola S. (A), Petman M. (A2)
  • 15:04, Korpimaki M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 2)
  • 05:23, 5 - 1, Klintrup E. (G), Appelgren N. (A), Heikkila J. (A2)
  • 07:00, 5 - 2, Turunen T. (G), Virta P. (A), Koivisto M. (A2)
  • 12:08, 5 - 3, Korpimaki M. (G), Nikupeteri O. (A),
  • 13:18, Virta P. (2 min),
  • 19:05, 6 - 3, Naukkarinen J. (G), Petman M. (A),

Chances of winning


SaiPa
36.4%
Draw
23.8%
Kärpät
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 24.1% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 22.1% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SaiPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SaiPa - Kärpät Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.44)
    3.9
    (3.85)
    2.34
    (2.47)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for SaiPa - Kärpät?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's SaiPa to win the game is with odds 2.59.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 38:68 (average 1.9:3.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SaiPa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:42 (average 1.9:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Kärpät were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Kärpät - SaiPa 3:2
    13.11.2024 SaiPa - Kärpät 4:3
    23.10.2024 Kärpät - SaiPa 3:6
    28.02.2024 Kärpät - SaiPa 5:1
    24.01.2024 SaiPa - Kärpät 2:5
    Latest results of SaiPa
    22.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - SaiPa 3:4
    18.01.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa 2:3
    17.01.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 2:1
    15.01.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 1:4
    10.01.2025 SaiPa - Pelicans 2:4
    Latest results of Kärpät
    22.01.2025 Kärpät - HPK 0:3
    18.01.2025 JYP - Kärpät 0:4
    17.01.2025 Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo 1:4
    15.01.2025 Kärpät - Ässät 5:2
    11.01.2025 Pelicans - Kärpät 2:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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