Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varea 51.2% | Draw 27.7% | Agoncillo 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Varea - Agoncillo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.61) |
3.3 ↓ (3.52) |
4.34 ↓ (5.06) |
9.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Varea is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Varea won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Agoncillo?
Varea has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agoncillo won against Varea?
Agoncillo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - Agoncillo were as follows:
06.12.2025
Agoncillo
-
Varea
0:1
11.05.2025
Agoncillo
-
Varea
2:2
12.01.2025
Varea
-
Agoncillo
3:2
19.02.2023
Varea
-
Agoncillo
2:1
16.10.2022
Agoncillo
-
Varea
2:0
Latest results of Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation