Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Tuilla 18.9% | Draw 28.2% | Ceares 52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tuilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-4%)
Tuilla - Ceares Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.81 ↑ (4.15) |
3.21 ↑ (3.07) |
1.72 ↓ (1.85) |
10.2% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 2.
- Tuilla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ceares is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ceares is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tuilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tuilla won against Ceares?
Tuilla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Tuilla?
Ceares has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tuilla - Ceares were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ceares
-
Tuilla
2:1
26.01.2025
Tuilla
-
Ceares
0:0
15.09.2024
Ceares
-
Tuilla
0:1
25.02.2024
Tuilla
-
Ceares
0:1
08.10.2023
Ceares
-
Tuilla
2:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 56:18 | 38 | 68 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 62 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 61:20 | 41 | 54 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 37 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Llanes | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | Praviano | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31:44 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Lenense | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 22 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 22 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20:49 | -29 | 17 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 16:53 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation