Result
2:1
23/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
- 35', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Erick Marcus ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
- 46', Martinho da Silva E. ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Minkov N. ⚽,
- 51', Kalu S. 🟨,
- 57', Iliev N. 🟨,
- 61', Duarte D. ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
- 61', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Vinicius Nogueira ↑,
- 61', Caio Vidal ↓, Duah K. ↑,
- 62', Hein B. ↓, Balogiannis K. ↑,
- 67', Kalu S. ↓, Conte A. ↑,
- 68', Almeida D. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Nachmias I. ⚽,
- 82', Soldo N. 🟥,
- 88', Pedro Igor ↓, Tsonov S. ↑,
- 88', Mascote ↓, Maras A. ↑,
- 89', Balogiannis K. 🟨,
- 90', Conte A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rwan Cruz ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Algarra C. ⚽,
- 90+6', Tsonov S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botev Plovdiv
13.7% | Draw
21.9% | Ludogorets Razgrad
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.72 ↑
(5.93) |
4.21 ↑
(3.58) |
1.45 ↓
(1.54) |
7.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad?
Users Predictions:
72 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 68 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 89.1% – 99.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Ludogorets (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Botev Plovdiv (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Ludogorets (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Ludogorets (votes: 33 - 97.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 0.
- In recent matches, Botev Plovdiv has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ludogorets is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Plovdiv won against Ludogorets Razgrad?
Botev Plovdiv has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ludogorets Razgrad won against Botev Plovdiv?
Ludogorets Razgrad has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad were as follows:
31.08.2025
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Botev Plovdiv
2:1
27.02.2025
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Botev Plovdiv
1:0
04.02.2025
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Botev Plovdiv
3:2
19.12.2024
Botev Plovdiv
-
Ludogorets Razgrad
2:4
08.12.2024
Ludogorets Razgrad
-
Botev Plovdiv
3:0
Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
