Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona
Result
0:3
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 38
  • Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)
Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.233.47
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (168/216)92% (662/718)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.233.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.122.40
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1021
Passes
78% (168/216)92% (662/718)
Long passes
49% (22/45)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
65% (55/84)76% (77/101)
Crosses
25% (3/12)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.66
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
2110
Tackles
64% (7/11)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4352
Clearances
1914
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.400.12
Goals prevented
-0.600.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
  • 17', 0 - 2, Lewandowski R. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
  • 62', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
  • 62', Nunez U. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
  • 64', Araujo R. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
  • 64', Raphinha ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
  • 75', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
  • 80', Williams N. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
  • 81', Pedri ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
  • 81', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
  • 89', de Marcos O. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
  • 89', Lewandowski R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Olmo D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
31.7%		Draw
24.5%		Barcelona
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 26.1% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 26.7% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
    •

    Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.03 ↓
    (3.12)    		 3.92 ↑
    (3.73)    		 2.2 ↓
    (2.27)    		 3.9%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 47.5% – 77.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Athletic is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1.
    • Athletic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2
    24.08.2024 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    03.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:0
    24.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 4:2
    22.10.2023 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    18.05.2025 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 0:1 ✺
    15.05.2025 Getafe - Athletic Bilbao 0:2 ✺
    11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Barcelona
    18.05.2025 Barcelona - Villarreal 2:3 ✺
    15.05.2025 Espanyol - Barcelona 0:2 ✺
    11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺
    06.05.2025 Inter Milan - Barcelona 4:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    madagascarMadagascarUpTV
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
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    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainGolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
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