Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 27
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, True Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.860.44
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
24
Passes
74% (195/262)89% (586/659)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.860.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.081.07
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
74
Free kicks
911
Passes
74% (195/262)89% (586/659)
Long passes
49% (22/45)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
53% (40/76)71% (75/106)
Crosses
18% (3/17)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.51
Throw ins
1916
Fouls
119
Tackles
73% (16/22)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.071.08
Goals prevented
0.071.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Gomez U. , Navarro R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bernal M. , Pedri ,
  • 46', Sanchez S. , Sancet O. ,
  • 50', Rego A. 🟨,
  • 57', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
  • 62', Torres F. , Lewandowski R. ,
  • 62', Rashford M. , Raphinha ,
  • 62', Olmo D. , Fermín ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal , Pedri (A),
  • 69', Rego A. , Vesga M. ,
  • 69', Williams I. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 74', Jauregizar M. , Garcia E. ,
  • 78', Casado M. , Araujo R. ,
  • 90+3', Vivian D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
20.6%
Draw
22.2%
Barcelona
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.6% 21.8% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 23.3% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.66
    (4.83)
    4.31
    (4.34)
    1.67
    (1.61)
    4.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Athletic (1.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Barcelona (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Athletic (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Athletic (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Barcelona (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Barcelona (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Athletic (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (73 of 82 users predict this - 89.02%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.25%95.79%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 7 - 20%). Barcelona (votes: 28 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Hamstring Injury) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0
    22.11.2025 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 4:0
    25.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:3
    08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2
    24.08.2024 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Barcelona
    28.02.2026 Barcelona - Villarreal 4:1
    22.02.2026 Barcelona - Levante 3:0
    16.02.2026 Girona - Barcelona 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona28231477:284970
    2Real Madrid28213460:243666
    3Atl. Madrid28176547:252257
    4Villarreal28174751:331855
    5Betis281111643:35844
    6Celta Vigo281011738:31741
    7Real Sociedad281081043:42138
    8Espanyol281071135:42-737
    9Getafe281051323:30-735
    10Ath Bilbao281051330:40-1035
    11Osasuna28971233:35-234
    12Girona288101031:43-1234
    13Rayo Vallecano287111028:34-632
    14Valencia28881230:42-1232
    15Sevilla28871337:47-1031
    16Mallorca28771433:45-1228
    17Alaves28771426:38-1228
    18Elche285111236:45-926
    19Levante28581530:46-1623
    20Oviedo28491518:44-2621

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2