Grosseto vs Follonica Gavorrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 1, ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Grosseto
65.9%
Draw
21.4%
Follonica Gavorrano
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 20.9% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 19.7% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.37)
    4.22
    (4.35)
    7.05
    (7.24)
    11%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3.
    • Grosseto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Follonica Gavorrano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Grosseto is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto 2:4
    09.03.2025 Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano 2:2
    03.11.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto 0:2
    18.02.2024 Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano 1:0
    15.10.2023 Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto 1:1
    Latest results of Grosseto
    15.03.2026 Grosseto - Scandicci 1:1
    01.03.2026 Poggibonsi - Grosseto 0:1
    22.02.2026 Grosseto - Orvietana 0:1
    15.02.2026 Tau Altopascio - Grosseto 0:1
    Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto ✔ 34226658:253372
    2Tau ✔ 33179751:321960
    3Prato ✔ 33195948:291960
    4Siena ✔ 33178853:312259
    5Seravezza Pozzi ✔ 331511741:281356
    6Terranuova Traiana331481128:30-250
    7Scandicci331115739:31848
    8Foligno331391144:37748
    9Montevarchi331016728:31-346
    10Trestina3310111236:38-241
    11Ghiviborgo3410101442:44-240
    12San Donato339121229:34-539
    13Orvietana339101433:37-437
    14Follonica Gavorrano339101435:47-1237
    15Camaiore ✔ 33971741:54-1334
    16Poggibonsi336101728:46-1828
    17Cannara33681924:58-3426
    18Vivi Altotevere ✔ 332151620:46-2621

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    Tau is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
    Prato is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
    Siena is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
    Seravezza Pozzi is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
    Camaiore is Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out )
    Vivi Altotevere is Relegated to