Result
30/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
Montalegre
23.8% | Draw
27.6% | Varzim
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montalegre's form might have worsened.Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montalegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montalegre - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.15) |
3.33 ↑
(3.22) |
1.89 ↓
(2.35) |
8.7%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Montalegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Varzim is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Varzim will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Montalegre won against Varzim?
Montalegre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Montalegre?
Varzim has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montalegre - Varzim were as follows:
07.04.2023
Varzim
-
Montalegre
0:1
04.02.2023
Montalegre
-
Varzim
1:2
22.10.2022
Varzim
-
Montalegre
2:1
Latest results of Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | Braga B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Paredes | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Caldas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Academica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico CP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Mafra | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Santarem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
