Moncarapachense vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Moncarapachense - Alverca
04/02/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
22.6%
Draw
27.1%
Alverca
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 26.7% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 25.7% 57.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moncarapachense - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (5.1)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    1.85
    (1.64)
    8.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Alverca were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Alverca - Moncarapachense 2:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of Alverca
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    29.01.2023 Caldas - Alverca 2:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    08.01.2023 Leiria - Alverca 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5Paredes71518:718
    6AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    8AD Fafe61325:9-46
    9Amarante61235:7-25
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    3Mafra62317:709
    41u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    5Academica63038:539
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC62138:627
    8Amora62135:6-17
    9Covilha61324:5-16
    10Atletico CP62044:6-26

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