Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ardoi
37.3% | Draw
35.2% | Subiza
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Subiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ardoi - Subiza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.55) |
3.07 ↓
(3.35) |
3.94 ↑
(1.93) |
-7.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 0.
- Recent performances by Ardoi have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Subiza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Subiza could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ardoi won against Subiza?
Ardoi has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Subiza won against Ardoi?
Subiza has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ardoi - Subiza were as follows:
07.09.2025
Subiza
-
Ardoi
3:1
01.05.2024
Ardoi
-
Subiza
0:3
06.01.2024
Subiza
-
Ardoi
1:0
11.02.2023
Subiza
-
Ardoi
3:1
15.10.2022
Ardoi
-
Subiza
0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pena | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 56:34 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 59:27 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Izarra | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 58:27 | 31 | 54 |
| 4 | Subiza | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | Ezcabarte | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Cortes | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 43 |
| 8 | Txantrea | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45:58 | -13 | 40 |
| 9 | Beti Kozkor | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Huarte | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Cirbonero | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Valle Egues | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Ardoi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Bidezarra | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 27:37 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Aoiz | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 | CA Artajones | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | Oberena | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:55 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
