New Zealand vs South Africa, Twenty20 International – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
137:136
20/03/2026 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Twenty20 International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Chances of winning


New Zealand
70.7%
South Africa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand's performance.
  • South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Africa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Zealand - South Africa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)

    3.47
    (2.54)
    1.8%
    (8.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • South Africa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6044:5713. (average 302.2:285.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand - South Africa were as follows:
    17.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 175:107
    15.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 91:93
    04.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 173:169
    14.02.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 175:178
    26.07.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 180:177
    Latest results of New Zealand
    17.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 175:107
    15.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 91:93
    08.03.2026 India - New Zealand 255:159
    04.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 173:169
    27.02.2026 England - New Zealand 161:159
    Latest results of South Africa
    17.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 175:107
    15.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 91:93
    04.03.2026 New Zealand - South Africa 173:169
    01.03.2026 Zimbabwe - South Africa 153:154
    26.02.2026 South Africa - West Indies 177:176