Real Oviedo vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.43
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2322
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
69
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Long passes
48% (21/44)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
73% (72/99)63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.43
Fouls
96
Tackles
52% (11/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5143
Clearances Total
2118
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.430.40
Goals prevented
0.43-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Luengo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 69', Cazorla S. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
  • 69', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 69', Chaira I. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
  • 70', Cordero A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Calvo D. (A),
  • 78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 78', Luismi ↓, Dioni ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Dioni ⚽, Medina K. (A),
  • 85', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
  • 88', Chupe ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
  • 88', Lobete J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Molina M. (Own goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry7sb8x

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
55.7%		Draw
26.8%		Málaga
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.6% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Real Oviedo - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.57)    		 5.32 ↓
    (5.43)    		 6.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 50.6% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Oviedo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Yellow Cards) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Yellow Cards) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Málaga were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:0
    03.02.2023 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:1
    24.10.2022 Real Oviedo - Málaga 1:0
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Málaga
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Albacete Balompié - Málaga 2:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2 ✺
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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