Brentford vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Brentford
33.5%

Draw
26.2%

Aston Villa
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Aston Villa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Brentford - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.83)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	2.37 ↑ (2.34)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
Brentford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aston Villa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Aston Villa?

Brentford has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brentford?

Aston Villa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Aston Villa were as follows:

23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0

08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1

04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1

06.04.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:3

17.12.2023 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:2

Latest results of Brentford

30.08.2025 Sunderland - Brentford 2:1 ✺

26.08.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 3:1 ✺

08.08.2025 Brentford - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

31.08.2025 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd