Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Estrada N. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Hancar K. ⚽,
- 56', Motau A. ↓, Marroquin A. M. ↑,
- 57', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 63', Claiborne A. ↓, Magaia H. ↑,
- 72', Fuentes D. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 72', Trevithick K. ↓, Ceja K. ↑,
- 81', Marroquin A. M. 🟨,
- 86', Fernandez I. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 86', Acosta M. ↓, Medellin Z. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
74.4% | Draw
15.9% | Necaxa
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-33%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+20.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tijuana - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(2.32) |
7.32 ↑
(3.25) |
12.66 ↑
(2.91) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Tijuana (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tijuana will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tijuana will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5.
- Tijuana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Necaxa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Necaxa?
Tijuana has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tijuana?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
14.02.2025
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:3
24.07.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
3:0
15.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
3:0
24.07.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:2
20.03.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
2:3
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
