San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies
12/07/2025 at 19:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


San Diego Padres
41.5%
Philadelphia Phillies
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.36)

    1.64
    (1.59)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 80:109. (average 4:5.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:38. (average 4.3:5.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    11.07.2025 San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies 4:2
    02.07.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres 5:1
    02.07.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres 4:6
    30.06.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres 4:0
    19.06.2024 Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres 2:5
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers965937478:3870.615
    2Toronto Blue Jays945539434:4130.585
    3Houston Astros945539412:3530.585
    4New York Yankees955342500:3860.558
    5Boston Red Sox975245487:4290.536
    6Seattle Mariners955045443:4150.526
    7Tampa Bay Rays965046448:3840.521
    8Texas Rangers954748384:3400.495
    9Minnesota Twins954748401:4080.495
    10Los Angeles Angels944648407:4700.489
    11Kansas City Royals964650325:3540.479
    12Cleveland Guardians944549347:3930.479
    13Baltimore Orioles944351392:4720.457
    14Athletics963957407:5450.406
    15Chicago White Sox963264327:4240.333


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers965739513:4470.594
    2Chicago Cubs955639508:3920.589
    3Milwaukee Brewers955540449:3750.579
    4Philadelphia Phillies945440432:3690.574
    5New York Mets965541424:3780.573
    6San Diego Padres945143377:3700.543
    7San Francisco Giants965244397:3770.542
    8St.Louis Cardinals965046439:4230.521
    9Cincinnati Reds964947437:4080.510
    10Arizona Diamondbacks954649483:4770.484
    11Miami Marlins944351397:4620.457
    12Atlanta Braves944252384:3810.447
    13Washington Nationals953857416:5110.400
    14Pittsburgh Pirates963858324:3780.396
    15Colorado Rockies952273334:5850.232

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