Novara vs Padova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
510
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
26
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Asencio R. ,
  • 24', Asencio R. , Ganz S. ,
  • 29', Gerardini F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Villa L. , Favale G. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Bertoncini D. ,
  • 53', Perrotta M. , Liguori M. ,
  • 55', Favale G. 🟨,
  • 58', Kirwan N. , Russini S. ,
  • 59', Buonaiuto C. , Capelli A. ,
  • 65', Agyemang G. 🟨,
  • 68', Gerardini F. , Gagliardi L. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Spagnoli A. ,
  • 72', Liguori M. (Pen),
  • 82', Varas K. , Cretella C. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Novara
21.1%
Draw
29.8%
Padova
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 26.2% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 25.5% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Novara - Padova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (4)
    3.08
    (3.4)
    1.87
    (1.73)
    9%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Novara - Padova?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 1.
    • Novara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Padova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Padova is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Novara: Calcagni R. (Red Card) Ghiringhelli L. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Novara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Padova were as follows:
    11.11.2024 Padova - Novara 2:1
    28.01.2024 Novara - Padova 0:3
    20.09.2023 Padova - Novara 2:0
    26.02.2023 Novara - Padova 1:3
    23.10.2022 Padova - Novara 1:2
    Latest results of Novara
    13.03.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Novara 1:0
    09.03.2025 Novara - Giana Erminio 0:1
    02.03.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Novara 1:1
    23.02.2025 Novara - Renate 1:0
    15.02.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 1:2
    Latest results of Padova
    13.03.2025 Renate - Padova 3:2
    09.03.2025 Padova - AlbinoLeffe 3:0
    02.03.2025 FeralpiSalò - Padova 1:0
    23.02.2025 Padova - Giana Erminio 3:0
    16.02.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Padova 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation