Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
49
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
10
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
511
Corner kicks
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Desogus J. ,
  • 30', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ballarini M. , Caia F. ,
  • 46', Renelus B. , Citterio G. ,
  • 46', Daffara M. , Pagliuca M. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Udoh K. ,
  • 61', Motolese M. 🟨,
  • 67', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 68', Munaretti L. , Patane N. ,
  • 69', Desogus J. , Pogliano C. ,
  • 69', Udoh K. , Mastroianni F. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 80', Motolese M. , Mora C. ,
  • 81', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
  • 87', Ferri D. , Schiro T. ,
  • 88', Fanini F. , Mancini T. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
39.3%
Draw
29%
Virtus Verona
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 28.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 27.4% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.
  • Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pro Patria - Virtus Verona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.71)
    3.17
    (3.19)
    2.89
    (2.47)
    8.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
    • Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Virtus Verona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Virtus Verona were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    30.03.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    16.11.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:1
    20.04.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:3
    17.12.2023 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 2:0
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    22.02.2026 Brescia - Pro Patria 3:2
    15.02.2026 Trento - Pro Patria 2:0
    11.02.2026 Pro Patria - Cittadella 1:0
    08.02.2026 AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria 2:2
    Latest results of Virtus Verona
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation