Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (343/434) | 78% (352/450) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (343/434) | 78% (352/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 31% (20/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/148) | 55% (61/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Sebaoui I. ⚽,
- 21', Maziz Y. 🟨,
- 34', Maertens M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', George W. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
- 46', Maertens M. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 57', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 75', Merlen R. 🟨,
- 80', Merlen R. ↓, Sissako A. ↑,
- 80', Muja A. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
- 80', Verstraete B. ↓, Akimoto T. ↑,
- 81', Verlinden T. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 81', Dussenne N. ↓, Schrijvers S. ↑,
- 84', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 85', Kokubo L. 🟨,
- 86', Akimoto T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ikwuemesi C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
53.4% | Draw
26.9% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+1%)
Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76
(1.76) |
3.48 ↓
(3.61) |
4.82 ↑
(4.42) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Leuven (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sint-Truidense will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sint-Truidense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 3 - 75%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Leuven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sint-Truidense is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Leuven: Vlietinck T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T.
(Injury)
Kayo B.
(Knock)
Souanga C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Sint-Truidense?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
23.11.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
1:2
15.09.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:1
17.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
20.04.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
1:0
09.12.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
