Lokomotiv Novosibirsk vs Zenit Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Novosibirsk
35.9%
Zenit Kazan
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Zenit Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Kazan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Lokomotiv Novosibirsk - Zenit Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.73)

    1.49
    (1.47)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv N won 4.
    • In recent matches, Lokomotiv N has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zenit Kazan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Zenit Kazan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zenit Kazan could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 34:47. (average 1.7:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 2.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Novosibirsk - Zenit Kazan were as follows:
    05.04.2026 Zenit Kazan - Lokomotiv Novosibirsk 3:1
    03.04.2026 Zenit Kazan - Lokomotiv Novosibirsk 2:3
    07.02.2026 Lokomotiv Novosibirsk - Zenit Kazan 3:2
    22.11.2025 Zenit Kazan - Lokomotiv Novosibirsk 1:3
    10.05.2025 Zenit Kazan - Lokomotiv Novosibirsk 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Zenit Kazan (1)Bye
    2Novokuybyshevsk (8)Novyi Urengoy (9)2 : 3, 3 : 1
    3Novosibirsk (4)Bye
    4Belgorod (5)Ufa (12)2 : 3, 3 : 0
    5Zenit St. Petersburg (2)Bye
    6Krasnoyarsk (7)Surgut region (10)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    7Din. Moscow (3)Bye
    8Dinamo-Lo (6)Gorky N. Novgorod (11)3 : 0, 3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zenit Kazan (1)Novokuybyshevsk (8)2 : 0
    2Novosibirsk (4)Belgorod (5)2 : 1
    3Zenit St. Petersburg (2)Krasnoyarsk (7)2 : 0
    4Din. Moscow (3)Dinamo-Lo (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zenit Kazan (1)Novosibirsk (4)1 : 1
    2Zenit St. Petersburg (2)Din. Moscow (3)1 : 1