Esteghlal vs Aluminium Arak – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
31/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Asani J. (Pen),
  • 19', Goudarzi B. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Munir El Haddadi , Koushki A. (A),
  • 45+5', Marzban R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Jafari R. (Pen),
  • 58', Farabbasi H. , Adan A. ,
  • 58', Ahmadi M. , Ndong D. ,
  • 60', Marzban R. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Koushki A. , Munir El Haddadi (A),
  • 78', Saharkhizan S. , Nazon D. ,
  • 79', Ashurmatov R. 🟨,
  • 86', Hardani S. , Rezaeian R. ,
  • 86', Ashurmatov R. , Gholami A. ,
  • 87', Ghanbari A. , Khodayarifard M. ,
  • 87', Jafari R. , Hosseini S. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
57.3%
Draw
28.5%
Aluminium Arak
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 31.4% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 33.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.
  • Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.85)
    3.26
    (2.85)
    6.51
    (4.4)
    7.9%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 4.
    • Esteghlal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aluminium Arak is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Esteghlal is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak 5:1
    20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 1:1
    12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 0:1
    27.10.2023 Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak 1:0
    07.04.2023 Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal 0:1
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    26.10.2025 Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal 0:3
    22.10.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Wehdat 2:0
    17.10.2025 Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan 1:0
    01.10.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Muharraq 0:1
    Latest results of Aluminium Arak
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esteghlal F.C22118329:161341
    2Tractor22109330:121839
    3Sepahan22116524:131139
    4Gol Gohar23106724:24036
    5Chadormalu2298527:19835
    6Persepolis2297623:19434
    7Foolad22710521:16531
    8Fajr Sepasi2386925:27-230
    9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:24-229
    10Malavan2278713:21-829
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:23-725
    12Paykan2359915:21-624
    13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:19-422
    14Aluminium Arak22571014:21-722
    15Zob Ahan21310812:19-719
    16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:29-1615

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