Result
1:2
07/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Albania | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Austria | Disney+ |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | CT sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Disney+ |
France | L'Equipe |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Mexico | TVC Deportes 2 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
United-kingdom | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (268/372) | 80% (374/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (268/372) | 80% (374/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 58% (31/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 65% (74/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Katoto M-A. 🟨,
- 7', 1 - 0, Russo A. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Dumornay D. M. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 2, Dumornay D. M. ⚽,
- 35', Mead B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Mead B. ↓, Smith O. ↑,
- 56', Kelly C. ↓, Foord C. ↑,
- 63', Chawinga T. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 68', Heaps L. ↓, Egurrola D. ↑,
- 68', Joseph L. ↓, Brand J. ↑,
- 75', Caldentey M. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
- 75', Russo A. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
- 76', Katoto M-A. ↓, Hegerberg A. ↑,
- 79', Tarciane 🟨,
- 84', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 🟨,
- 87', Hinds T. ↓, McCabe K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arsenal LFC 35.5% | Draw 23.7% | Lyon 40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal LFC's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Arsenal LFC - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.22) |
3.9 ↓ (4.1) |
2.28 ↓ (2.51) |
8.8% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Arsenal LFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lyon is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Arsenal LFC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal LFC won against Lyon?
Arsenal LFC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Arsenal LFC?
Lyon has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Lyon were as follows:
27.04.2025
Lyon
-
Arsenal LFC
1:4
19.04.2025
Arsenal LFC
-
Lyon
1:2
15.12.2022
Arsenal LFC
-
Lyon
0:1
19.10.2022
Lyon
-
Arsenal LFC
1:5
Latest results of Arsenal LFC
UEFA Champions League Women Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Lyon W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Manchester Utd W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Leuven W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Madrid W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Arsenal W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Juventus W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bayern Munich W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Paris FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Valerenga W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | SL Benfica W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | PSG W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | AS Roma W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | St. Polten W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:9 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)