Barrow vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 15
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.44
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
63% (174/277)68% (236/347)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.36
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
715
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1728
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
812
Passes
63% (174/277)68% (236/347)
Long passes
39% (28/71)34% (25/74)
Passes in final third
48% (47/98)66% (91/137)
Crosses
19% (3/16)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.95
Throw-ins
3533
Fouls
128
Tackles
55% (6/11)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4969
Clearances
3143
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.360.66
Goals prevented
-0.64-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Rose D. ,
  • 13', 0 - 2, Green K. , Rodgers H. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Harper R. , Whitfield B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fletcher I. , Hemmings K. ,
  • 46', Jackson B. , Canavan N. ,
  • 61', Hemmings K. 🟨,
  • 67', Svanthorsson J. , Eccleston N. ,
  • 67', Mahoney C. , Adu Poku M. ,
  • 68', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 2, McCann C. ,
  • 80', Green K. 🟨,
  • 83', Rose D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 83', Vernam C. , Staunton R. ,
  • 83', Khouri E. , Walker J. ,
  • 90+4', Newby E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
29.9%
Draw
27.6%
Grimsby Town
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 28.1% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 25.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Barrow - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.28)
    3.4
    (3.31)
    2.19
    (2.13)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barrow - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
    • Barrow is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
    • Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Williams M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Earing J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Sweeney J. (Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:0
    14.09.2024 Grimsby Town - Barrow 1:2
    29.03.2024 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:1
    03.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Barrow 2:1
    18.04.2023 Grimsby Town - Barrow 1:0
    Latest results of Barrow
    01.11.2025 Spennymoor Town - Barrow 0:2
    25.10.2025 Barrow - Barnet 2:2
    18.10.2025 Walsall - Barrow 1:2
    11.10.2025 Oldham Athletic - Barrow 0:0
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League