Result
0:4
29/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (457/540) | 81% (244/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (457/540) | 81% (244/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (117/153) | 71% (82/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.89 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Nishimura T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', Shimoda H. 🟨,
- 61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Soma Y. ⚽, Fujio S. (A),
- 67', 0 - 3, Soma Y. ⚽,
- 69', Ota S. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 69', Miyamoto E. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 4, Fujio S. ⚽, Nishimura T. (A),
- 78', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 78', Hayashi K. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
- 78', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 83', Akiyama H. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 83', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 88', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 88', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
25.1% | Draw
28.5% | Machida Zelvia
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(3.68) |
3.33 ↑
(3.22) |
2.05 ↓
(2.15) |
5.5%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Machida Zelvia (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Niigata (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Niigata (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Niigata (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.
- Niigata has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Machida Zelvia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Machida Zelvia?
Albirex Niigata has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Albirex Niigata?
Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
15.03.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
08.09.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
04.09.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Machida Zelvia
5:0
25.08.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
01.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Albirex Niigata
1:3
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
