Result
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
1 Dezembro
24.4% | Draw
28.7% | Belenenses
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
1 Dezembro - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(4.12) |
3.2 ↓
(3.33) |
1.96 ↑
(1.9) |
8.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Belenenses has had a series of home games.
- Belenenses is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has 1 Dezembro won against Belenenses?
1 Dezembro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against 1 Dezembro?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 1 Dezembro - Belenenses were as follows:
13.04.2025
Belenenses
-
1 Dezembro
2:0
15.02.2025
1 Dezembro
-
Belenenses
3:1
09.11.2024
Belenenses
-
1 Dezembro
1:1
10.08.2024
1 Dezembro
-
Belenenses
0:0
Latest results of 1 Dezembro
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
