Belenenses vs 1 Dezembro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
78
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Morgado T. ,
  • 24', Lima P. 🟨,
  • 37', Freitas J. 🟨,
  • 42', Edu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Horta Leitao D. , David Rebelo ,
  • 62', Harramiz S. , Dede ,
  • 64', Ferreira D. , Diogo Ferreira ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 71', Bruninho , Bandarra M. ,
  • 72', Machado J. , Duda ,
  • 78', Infante A. , Arroyo J. ,
  • 82', Eduardo W. , Souza E. ,
  • 82', Paulo D. , Cuca ,
  • 87', Lima P. , Menezes L. ,
  • 88', Cardoso D. , Tavares L. ,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
61%
Draw
23.9%
1 Dezembro
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 24% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 22.9% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • 1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Belenenses - 1 Dezembro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.51)
    3.82
    (3.78)
    6.03
    (5.69)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Belenenses - 1 Dezembro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 75%). 1 Dezembro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Belenenses is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • 1 Dezembro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Belenenses is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Belenenses will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - 1 Dezembro were as follows:
    26.10.2025 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 0:1
    13.04.2025 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    15.02.2025 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 3:1
    09.11.2024 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    10.08.2024 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 0:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    11.01.2026 Caldas - Belenenses 1:2
    03.01.2026 Belenenses - Amora 3:1
    21.12.2025 Covilhã - Belenenses 0:4
    07.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Belenenses 0:1
    Latest results of 1 Dezembro
    10.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Mafra 1:1
    20.12.2025 1 Dezembro - Atlético CP 0:1
    14.12.2025 1 Dezembro - Caldas 2:0
    06.12.2025 Amora - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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