Result
0:3
03/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 76% (227/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 76% (227/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (85/135) | 65% (61/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽, Ruiz Diaz R. (A),
- 18', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 26', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 40', Comas L. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 40', Diaz S. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Alborno R. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 46', Ramos J. ↓, Parra A. ↑,
- 46', Baez J. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 60', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 65', Feliu J. 🟨,
- 70', Quintana S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 80', Cornet R. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 81', Feliu J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
- 84', Saiz C. 🟨,
- 85', Monzon L. 🟥,
- 86', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 89', Riquelme H. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Acosta D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
31.7% | Draw
29.6% | 2 de Mayo
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.64) |
3.28 ↑
(3.07) |
2.45 ↓
(2.7) |
3.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
2 de Mayo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
- Sportivo Luqueño is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- 2 de Mayo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, 2 de Mayo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that 2 de Mayo will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Luqueño?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
25.07.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:2
02.05.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
21.02.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
25.11.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:2
12.09.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
2:3
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
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