Result
0:3
03/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 1.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
76% (271/356) | 76% (227/299) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 1.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
76% (271/356) | 76% (227/299) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (43/78) | 42% (23/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (85/135) | 65% (61/94) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (5/20) | 17% (3/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 1.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (14/18) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.49 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.51 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽, Ruiz Diaz R. (A),
- 18', Quintana S. 🟨,
- 26', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 40', Comas L. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
- 40', Diaz S. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Alborno R. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 46', Ramos J. ↓, Parra A. ↑,
- 46', Baez J. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 60', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 65', Feliu J. 🟨,
- 70', Quintana S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 80', Cornet R. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 81', Feliu J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
- 84', Saiz C. 🟨,
- 85', Monzon L. 🟥,
- 86', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 89', Riquelme H. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Acosta D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño 31.7% | Draw 29.6% | 2 de Mayo 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.09 ↑ (2.64) |
3.28 ↑ (3.07) |
2.45 ↓ (2.7) |
3.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
2 de Mayo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
- Sportivo Luqueño is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- 2 de Mayo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, 2 de Mayo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that 2 de Mayo will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Luqueño?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
25.07.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:2
02.05.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
21.02.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
25.11.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:2
12.09.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
2:3
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
2 | Guarani | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
3 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 25 |
4 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
6 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
8 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Ameliano | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 6 |
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