Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (282/340) | 87% (457/523) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (282/340) | 87% (457/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 75% (81/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Armoa J. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 26', Franco T. 🟥,
- 42', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Maiz A. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 46', Quintana S. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz O. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 2, Barreto M. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
- 53', Farina A. 🟥,
- 59', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 63', Alfonso E. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 64', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 69', Riveros P. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 69', Maldonado S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 72', Castro C. ↓, Coronel U. ↑,
- 72', Gomez A. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 80', Pereira A. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
44.2% | Draw
29.5% | 2 de Mayo
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.93) |
3.14 ↓
(3.41) |
3.51 ↓
(3.87) |
8.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - 2 de Mayo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.
- Recent form of Sportivo Luqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- 2 de Mayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Luqueño?
2 de Mayo has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
23.01.2026
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:2
03.10.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
0:3
25.07.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:2
02.05.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:1
21.02.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
