Result
0:2
15/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 5
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (473/572) | 83% (418/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (473/572) | 83% (418/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/92) | 67% (87/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Kirkegaard K. ⚽, Pingel S. (A),
- 44', Doua S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Doua S. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
- 46', Hausner S. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
- 54', Borsting F. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
- 54', Ross O. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Kirkegaard K. ⚽, Pingel S. (A),
- 67', Makolli E. 🟨,
- 68', Pingel S. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
- 68', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
- 68', Nielsen M. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
- 79', Sene F. 🟨,
- 83', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 84', Roslyng F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', Moro A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Delac M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aalborg BK
27.5% | Draw
29.3% | Horsens
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aalborg BK's form might have worsened.Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aalborg BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aalborg BK - Horsens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(2.55) |
3.52 ↓
(3.6) |
2.32 ↓
(2.43) |
-2.7%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aalborg BK - Horsens?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Horsens will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 4.
- Aalborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Horsens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aalborg has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:14. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Horsens?
Aalborg BK has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Aalborg BK?
Horsens has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - Horsens were as follows:
06.10.2023
Horsens
-
Aalborg BK
1:4
29.07.2023
Aalborg BK
-
Horsens
1:0
07.05.2023
Aalborg BK
-
Horsens
4:0
02.04.2023
Horsens
-
Aalborg BK
0:4
20.01.2023
Horsens
-
Aalborg BK
2:2
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kolding IF | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Hvidovre IF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Koge | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Hillerod | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | B.93 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Hobro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
